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Economic impact, feasibility, and fiscal analysis

Analysis your project can be built on.

We run economic impact, feasibility, and fiscal studies through a decision engine that aggregates the published economic record and tests a project across every known variable at once. Not one hopeful estimate. The whole picture, and where it holds.

Serving the interior West. A Native-owned firm.
What we do

Four questions we answer with evidence.

Economic impact

What a project brings to the region

Regional input-output analysis of the jobs, output, labor income, and tax revenue a project generates as its effect moves through the local economy, with leakage handled honestly so the numbers survive scrutiny.

Feasibility & viability

Whether it should move forward

Net present value, internal rate of return, payback, and debt-service coverage against the floor a lender uses, resolved into a clear recommendation and the one factor that most changes it.

Fiscal impact

What it means for public revenue

The tax and revenue effect on state, county, local, and tribal governments, built for the budget conversation and the grant application that follow.

Market & cost-benefit

Whether the case holds together

Demand and capture analysis, cost-benefit assessment, and site and location viability for a decision to open, expand, build, or buy.

The engine

A study that tests itself across every variable at once.

Most impact work is a single spreadsheet: one multiplier, one projection, one number. Our decision engine aggregates the published regional economic record and runs the project through the entire range of every assumption that could move the result. That is the difference between a figure and an answer you can defend.

The whole range
Each assumption enters as a range, not a fixed value. The engine samples the whole space and reports where the outcome holds, where it flips, and which single variable moves it most, so the result does not collapse the moment one input is questioned.
Your projection is a hypothesis
The optimistic case is weighed against the rival explanations for a project's effect, including displacement, substitution, and leakage, and the engine reports which one the evidence actually supports. The rosy number does not get to be the premise.
The lender's own test
Viability is measured with the finance a bank runs, including debt-service coverage against the standard floor, so the financing conversation holds no surprises.
Pre-registered and defensible
Thresholds are fixed before the analysis runs, while the answer is still unknown. A credibility check blocks anything the model cannot stand behind, and we keep a register of our forecasts against what actually happened.
The data foundation

Every figure traces back to the federal record.

We build on the authoritative public statistical record, not a proprietary black box. Depending on what a study requires, we draw from:

Bureau of Economic Analysis

  • National Input-Output Accounts: the Use and Make tables behind every multiplier
  • Regional Economic Accounts: a region's measured income, GDP, and industry structure
  • RIMS II multipliers: federal regional multipliers, defensible without argument

Bureau of Labor Statistics

  • QCEW: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, by county and industry
  • OES: Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, what the jobs actually pay
  • LAUS: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, month by month

U.S. Census Bureau

  • American Community Survey: who lives in the place and how
  • LEHD / LODES: employment below the county, where projects actually sit
  • Gazetteer: the geographic backbone that ties data to a location

Geospatial & regulatory

  • Parcel and land-use overlays: whether a site sits inside a constraint
  • Land valuation: what the ground is worth under each scenario
  • Siting layers: the regulatory picture a location analysis needs

Every number in a study can be traced to its published source and reproduced independently. That is what lets the work stand up when someone checks it.

Who we serve

Public and private clients, from a single storefront to a regional plan.

The engine is the same discipline at every scale. The engagement is built around what you actually need to decide.

Cities, counties & economic development offices Real estate developers & investors Business owners & operators Tribes & tribal enterprises Ports, chambers & districts Nonprofits & foundations
Where we work

The interior West, with people who know the ground.

National firms fly in, bill the travel, and price a rural community out of the analysis it needs. We are closer, and we understand these economies from the inside.

Home region

Southern and central Oregon and far Northern California, including Klamath, Lake, Jackson, Deschutes, Modoc, and Siskiyou counties.

The wider interior West

Shasta and the Sacramento Valley, western Nevada, and southern Idaho, on-site when it matters.

Every kind of project

A storefront, a subdivision, a manufacturing plant, a public facility, a tribal enterprise. Any economic or feasibility question a decision turns on.

National reach when needed

The engine runs on data that covers the country. When a project sits outside the region, the analysis still travels.

About the firm

An economics firm with a technical edge, not a template.

Project Red Team is a Native-owned economic analysis firm led by H.L. Delaney, an enrolled member of the Klamath Tribes. Our advantage is the engine. We pair standard, published economic method with a proprietary decision system, developed in-house, that aggregates the regional economic record and evaluates a project across the full range of every known variable rather than a single set of assumptions.

The methods are transparent and reproducible, the judgment is independent, and every study is built to be defended under scrutiny, and written to be read. We bring on specialist collaborators as an engagement requires, and we deliver work that reads as clearly for a council chamber as it does for a credit committee.

Project Red Team. Native-owned. Interior West.

Tell us about the project.

What you are weighing, and where. We will lay out what it takes to answer it and what it costs, before you commit to anything.

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